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Risk · 5 min read

Stop first: why the exit is decided before the entry

A trade without a predefined stop is an open-ended liability. Here is how to place the stop before you ever think about the target.

Most traders start with the question “where do I get in?” A defined-risk trader starts with a different question: “where am I wrong?” The stop is not an afterthought you add once the position is on — it is the first input to the trade, and it decides whether the trade exists at all.

The stop is the invalidation point

A good stop sits where the reason for the trade no longer holds: beyond a swing low for a long, beyond a swing high for a short, or outside a volatility band that normal noise should not reach. If you cannot name the level at which the idea is invalid, you do not have a trade yet.

Stop distance drives position size

Once the stop is known, the distance from entry to stop tells you how many units you can hold while staying inside your risk budget. A wide stop means a smaller position; a tight stop allows a larger one. The dollar risk stays the same either way.

  • Identify the invalidation level before entry.
  • Measure the distance from entry to that level.
  • Size the position so that distance equals your maximum risk.
  • Place the stop order at the same moment as the entry — never “later”.

Deciding the exit first removes the most expensive emotion in trading: hoping a losing position comes back. The loss is defined, accepted and capped before it can happen.

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The 1.5% rule: sizing positions so no trade can hurt you
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